March, 2009
2009 BDBL
Farm Report
Since
this is the tenth BDBL Farm Report, most of you know how this process
works. But for you new guys, each year I collect top prospect
lists from a "panel of experts." I assign 100 points to the top
player on each list, 99 points to the #2 player, etc.. I then
tally up all the points and rank each team in the BDBL by the total
number of points. I then provide a bunch of snarky comments to add
to the fun.
This year's panel of experts includes
Baseball HQ (two lists), Kevin Goldstein (Baseball Prospectus), Keith
Law and Baseball America. As always this panel does not --
and I repeat, does not -- include Anthony Peburn.
Here now is your 2009 ranking, along
with all the past rankings:
|
Total Pts |
2009 |
2008 |
2007 |
2006 |
2005 |
2004 |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
Avg Rank |
MAR |
2,656 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
17 |
19 |
7 |
8 |
15 |
10 |
9.7 |
SCS |
2,338 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
2 |
3 |
10 |
17 |
7.9 |
NMB |
1,906 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
23 |
22 |
15 |
14 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
10.9 |
ATL |
1,665 |
4 |
4 |
10 |
21 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
11 |
20 |
24 |
13.6 |
LAU |
1,660 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
19 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
4.6 |
CHI |
1,412 |
6 |
12 |
2 |
10 |
14 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
12 |
7.2 |
MAN |
1,327 |
7 |
13 |
8 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
22 |
9.8 |
STL |
1,292 |
8 |
5 |
11 |
9 |
19 |
10 |
23 |
17 |
12 |
19 |
13.3 |
BCJ |
1,288 |
9 |
23 |
9 |
3 |
12 |
22 |
20 |
21 |
23 |
21 |
16.3 |
SAL |
1,161 |
10 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
7 |
1 |
6.0 |
LVF |
1,040 |
11 |
10 |
14 |
15 |
21 |
17 |
13 |
23 |
22 |
16 |
16.2 |
AKR |
1,034 |
12 |
8 |
23 |
12 |
18 |
21 |
15 |
13 |
2 |
9 |
13.3 |
ALN |
837 |
13 |
16 |
6 |
13 |
4 |
16 |
12 |
9 |
4 |
18 |
11.1 |
SYL |
832 |
14 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
13 |
20 |
4 |
22 |
19 |
14 |
16.8 |
VIL |
815 |
15 |
15 |
7 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
18 |
18 |
8 |
9.8 |
NHB |
738 |
16 |
21 |
20 |
17 |
20 |
18 |
6 |
14 |
17 |
11 |
15.9 |
SCA |
709 |
17 |
14 |
16 |
11 |
15 |
11 |
9 |
7 |
14 |
15 |
13.2 |
NAS |
615 |
18 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
11 |
23 |
24 |
6 |
9 |
23 |
16.5 |
RAV |
465 |
19 |
19 |
22 |
24 |
23 |
12 |
22 |
20 |
13 |
5 |
17.8 |
SAB |
384 |
20 |
22 |
18 |
22 |
8 |
3 |
18 |
15 |
5 |
13 |
14.0 |
CLE |
348 |
21 |
20 |
13 |
19 |
24 |
24 |
21 |
24 |
24 |
20 |
21.0 |
COR |
269 |
22 |
11 |
24 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
9.0 |
KAN |
165 |
23 |
9 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
11 |
16 |
11 |
4 |
9.1 |
GLS |
133 |
24 |
24 |
21 |
14 |
16 |
9 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
6 |
17.0 |
#1 Marlboro Hammerheads
Ranked prospects: Colby
Rasmus (9), Andrew McCutchen (25), Jarrod Parker (26), Josh Vitters
(32), Michel Inoa (37), Mat Gamel (49), Jeremy Jeffress (51), Adam
Miller (57), Jake Arrieta (63), Michael Almanzar (122), Julio Borbon
(129).
Unranked prospects: Jaff Decker, Jonathan Galvez, Chin-Lung Hu,
Fernando Perez, Yorman Rodriguez, Oscar Tejeda, Wilfredo Boscan, Charlie
Haeger, Chris Withrow.
Meet the new #1; same as the old #1.
Despite the fact that the team's #2 prospect (McCutchen) fell in the
overall ranking from #12 to #25, despite five of this team's top nine prospects
from last year leaving via trade, and despite the graduations of two others
to the active roster, the Hammerheads' farm repeats as the top-ranked
system in the BDBL for the
second year in a row. How has new GM Nic Weiss managed to take
over where former farm director Ken Kaminski left off? Rasmus,
Vitters, and Gamel were all added via trade, Inoa was a key mid-season
pick-up last summer, and Parker rose from #42 to #26.
There is considerable disagreement among our panel regarding nearly
every one of Marlboro's top prospects. Rasmus ranks as high as #3
(BA) and as low as #25 (HQ.) Of HQ's two contributors, one ranked
McCutchen #10, while the other ranked him #51. Parker ranked #16
on one of the HQ lists, but ranked just #35 by Law. And Vitters
(#14 by Law, #59 by HQ) and Inoa (#20 by Goldstein, #54 by BA) also
showed a wide disparity of opinion.
#2 South Carolina Sea Cats
Ranked prospects: Buster
Posey (11), Justin Smoak (13), Chris Tillman (23), Fernando Martinez
(27), Alcides Escobar (52), Freddie Freeman (66), Greg Halman (69),
Adrian Cardenas (79), Reid Brignac (81), Jon Niese (96).
Unranked prospects: Caleb Gindl, Reese Havens, Cedric Hunter,
Jericho Jones, Tony Butler, Alan Horne, Will Inman, Kevin Mulvey.
This is the seventh time in ten seasons
the Sea Cats farm system has ranked among the top ten. Incredibly,
the top four prospects in last year's #6-ranked system (Martinez,
Brignac, Ian Kennedy and Radhames Liz) all fell in the ranking.
But Tillman jumped from #65 to #23, Cardenas went from #123 to #79,
Smoak and Halman went from unranked to #13 and #69, respectively, and
this team's top prospect, Posey, was acquired last summer off the free
agent scrap heap. GM Tony DeCastro then added two more top-100
prospects (Escobar and Freeman) in the drafts this January (paying $3
million to acquire Escobar.)
#3 New Milford Blazers
Ranked prospects: Dexter
Fowler (12), Brett Anderson (17), Matt LaPorta (21), Mike Stanton (38),
Nick Weglarz (62), Kyle Skipworth (83), Brett Lawrie (90), Michael
Burgess (103), Brad Lincoln (138), Sean West (143)
Unranked prospects: Chris Getz, John Raynor, Matt Moore, Jake
Odorizzi.
Here's a prediction you can cut, paste
and save for later: every prospect ranked above will drop in the
rankings by this time next year. Fowler's singles-driven .335
batting average last year was inflated by a high BIP average and the
hitter-friendly confines of Tulsa and the Texas League. Anderson
is a dime-a-dozen junkballing lefty who typically gets lit up in the big
leagues where corner-nipping repertoires like his don't work as well against
seasoned professionals. LaPorta has Jack Cust's career arc
written all over him. And Stanton strikes out more often than Jim
Doyle at a sorority party. Other than that, I absolutely love the
Blazers farm.
#4 Atlanta Fire Ants
Ranked prospects: Tim
Beckham (15), Gordon Beckham (24), Wade Davis (29), Jordan Walden (43),
Matt Latos (72), Jeremy Hellickson (88), Jeff Niemann (110), Jemile
Weeks (119), Ross Detwiler (120).
Unranked prospects: Robbie Grossman, Bryce Harper, Ryan Kalish,
Wil Middlebrooks, Joshua Fields, Gaby Hernandez, Mike Montgomery.
Despite the fact that last year's #1
prospect (Clay Buchholz) graduated to the majors, and the team's #2
(Davis) and #3 (Detwiler) prospects both fell in the ranking, the Fire
Ants once again own a top-five farm system for the second year in a row.
The credit for that goes to the Beckham brothers: Tim, who was selected
with the #2 overall pick of the 2008 farm draft, and Gordon, who was the
#1 pick at last year's Chapter Four free agent deadline. After
years of stocking the farm with "safe" picks, GM Gene Patterson has
struck gold with several high-upside/high-risk picks. He continued
that trend this winter by selecting 16-year-old Bryce Harper with the #1
overall pick. Last year, I noted that this
franchise's three best prospects were all pitchers; this year, they're
all hitters.
#5 Los Altos Undertakers
Ranked prospects: Matt
Wieters (1), Jason Heyward (3), Brian Matusz (21),
Elvis Andrus (47), Engel Beltre (113), Julio Teheran (124), Brad Holt
(139).
Unranked prospects: Ryan Westmoreland, Kyle Blair, Jose Ceda,
Kyle Gibson, Matt Harvey, Mike Leake, Tyler Matsek, Alex White.
Ho-hum. Another year, another top
five ranking for the Los Altos farm system. That's five in a row
if you're still keeping track, and NINE top-seven rankings in the ten
years of the BDBL Farm Report. We may as well call this the
"Paulson Report" at this point. And there's no end in sight,
either. Even after Wieters graduates to become the greatest
offensive catcher since Mike Piazza this year, Gibson, Matsek and White
will all join the top 100 (if not the top 50) next year, and Blair and
Harvey will be right behind them in 2011. If you think it's discouraging
to look at the Undertakers' 35-man roster this year, just remember that there is
no end in sight to this wretched dynasty.
#6 Chicago Black Sox
Ranked prospects: Travis
Snider (4), Cameron Maybin (10), Mike Bowden (45), Jeff Samardzija (73),
Ethan Martin (95), Drew Stubbs (105), Josh Reddick (125), Jefry Marte
(139), Neil Ramirez (148).
Unranked prospects: Kevin Ahrens, Nick Noonan, Austin Romine,
Billy Rowell, Matt Sulentic, Jack McGeary, Shelby Miller, Donald Veal.
John Gill was the first BDBL GM to dive
into the high school ranks when he selected prep pitcher Josh Beckett in
the 1999 farm draft, so it's interesting to note that Chicago's top
three prospects (and four of the top five) were all plucked from the
hallways of high school. All four of Chicago's top four prospects
should graduate to the big club next season, which may cause a drastic
dive in next year's farm report. Both Snider and Maybin project as
significant impact players, and should help to continue the tradition of
dominant Chicago lineups.
#7 Manchester Irish Rebels
Ranked prospects: Angel
Villalona (47), Matt Dominguez (50), J.P. Arencibia (57), Brett Cecil
(60), Phillipe Aumont (70), Aaron Cunningham (77), Jason Castro (85),
Scott Elbert (92), Dayan Viciedo (108), Chris Nelson (117), Junichi
Tazawa (133), Gio Gonzalez (144).
Unranked prospects: Scott Campbell, Zach Collier, Dan Moskos,
Andrew Oliver, Humberto Sanchez.
It's not easy to rank #7 in the farm
report when your top prospect is ranked just #47 overall. But the
Rebs own a good portion of the bottom 100 in the overall top 150, and if
quantity counts for more than quality on the farm, then the Rebels are doing
okay. Manchester leads the league with a dozen ranked prospects
(one more than the Apostles, Blazers and Hammerheads.) The last
time Manchester's farm ranked this highly (2006), their farm consisted of
players like Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Matt Cain, Nick Markakis, Cole
Hamels and Andrew McCutchen. Let's all hope the team of Doyle and
Bliss can get more return for this year's lot than Doyle got out of
2006's. For the most part, there doesn't appear to be any real
high-impact players on the Manchester farm at the moment. Most
thought that Villalona would be that type of player, and although he
held his own at a young age, his future stardom is now less certain than
it was a year ago. Dominguez and Aumont have some upside, but are
too far away to speculate with any accuracy. And Arencibia and
Cecil are projected to be solid, yet unspectacular, big league role
players.
#8 St. Louis Apostles
Ranked prospects: Derek
Holland (27), Jesus Montero (34), Wilmer Flores (53), Jose Tabata (65),
Martin Perez (76), Chris Perez (89), Darryl Jones (98), Kellen Kulbacki
(128), Daniel Cortes (133), Neftali Soto (133), Adys Portillo (150).
Unranked prospects: Jharmidy DeJesus, Kelvin DeLeon, Mychal
Givens, Rafael Rodriguez, Deolis Guerra, Scott Lewis, Shairon Martis,
Jason Motte.
The leading advocate for farm
expansion, Bobby Sylvester insists that 15 farm spots just isn't enough.
Judging by some of the reaches in the list above, I'm thinking ten might
be too many. There's nothing wrong with Holland or Montero, and
Flores and Tabata have the type of young, toolsy upside that Bobby
recently railed against on the board. But there are some far-flung
reaches spread out among the rest of the Apostles farm -- reaches with
1,000-to-1 odds of ever playing a single MLB inning, never mind
starring. In recent years, Bobby has fallen in love with the idea
of discovering the next Miguel Cabrera or Felix Hernandez on the
international market.
Incredibly, 10 out of the 19 players listed above were all signed as
international free agents.
#9 Bear Country Jamboree
Ranked prospects: Madison
Bumgarner (6), Carlos Triunfel (42), Aaron Poreda (55), Desmond Jennings
(61), Kyle Blanks (74), Wilson Ramos (116), Chris Marrero (120.)
Unranked prospects: Norichika Aoki, Cutter Dykstra, Cale Iorg,
Bryan LaHair, Hak Ju Lee, Casey Crosby, Eduardo Morlan, Tyson Ross,
Mitch Talbot, Ben Tootle.
The award for the biggest gain in this
year's farm report belongs to the Jamboree, who jumped all the way from
#23 to #9. And that entire jump can be attributed to just one
player: Bumgarner. Matt Clemm's one and only free agent
acquisition at the Chapter Four deadline in 2007, Bumgarner exploded
onto the scene last year and made Sally League hitters look absolutely
foolish (142 IP, 111 H, 3 HR, 21 BB, 164 K, 1.46 ERA.) While
Bumgarner ranked among the top 10 on four of the five lists (one of the
two HQ lists ranked him #22), opinions were all over the map for
Triunfel. Both HQ lists and Law each rank Triunfel among the top
25 prospects in the game, while Baseball America ranked him just
#89, and Goldstein didn't rank him at all.
#10 Salem Cowtippers
Ranked prospects: Pedro
Alvarez (16), Eric Hosmer (19), Aaron Hicks (36), Daniel Bard (107).
Unranked prospects: Chris Coghlan, Matt Davidson, Kentrail Davis,
Christian Lopes, Austin Maddox, Connor Narron, A.J. Pollock, Mark
Melancon, Mike Minor, Stephen Strasburg, Kendall Volz.
I really thought this would be the year
my string of top-ten farm systems would be broken, but Alvarez and Hosmer
kept the streak intact. Despite the fact that the two have combined for
just 11 professional at-bats so far, both are ranked among the overall
top 20. Seven former Cowtipper farmhands (Rick Porcello, Cameron
Maybin, Dexter Fowler, Matt LaPorta, Fernando Martinez, Josh Vitters and
Yonder Alonso) appear among the top 50. If I had held onto all of
them, the Cowtippers farm would be the overwhelming #1-ranked system in
the BDBL, with 3,783 points (1,127 more than the Hammerheads.) But
I guess that's the price I pay for not winning a championship.
Reinforcements are on the way, with Davidson, Davis, Maddox, Pollock,
Minor, Strasburg and Volz all expected to join the rankings next year.
And with Alvarez, Hosmer, Strasburg and, potentially, Hicks all joining
the top 15 next year, Salem may capture the #1 spot in this survey for
the first time since 2003.
#11 Las Vegas Flamingos
Ranked prospects: Neftali
Feliz (8), Yonder Alonso (46), Michael Main (67), Shooter Hunt (91),
Wilin Rosario (94), Bryan Anderson (115), Nick Hagadone (125), David
Cooper (132).
Unranked prospects: Corey Brown, Lance Broadway, Bryan Henry, Bud
Norris, James Simmons.
The Flamingos snuck into the top ten
for the first time in franchise history last year, but just missed the
mark this year despite the meteoric rise of Feliz from #88 overall all
the way to #8. With last year's #1 prospect (Chase Headley) moving
onto the active roster, and #2 prospect Gio Gonzalez traded for
Anderson, Vegas was able to replace them with three products of the 2008
MLB draft: Alonso (acquired from Salem in last year's Hideki Matsui
trade), Main and Hunt. Rosario and Cooper were both added this
winter in the farm draft.
#12 Akron Ryche
Ranked prospects: Tommy
Hanson (5), Logan Morrison (41), Jhoulys Chacin (56), Angel Salome (97),
Cole Rohrbough (113), Gerardo Parra (123).
Unranked prospects: Dustin Ackley, James Darnell, Taylor Green,
Kila Ka'aihue, Gaby Sanchez, Faustino de los Santos, Danny Duffy,
Matthew Purke, Juan Ramirez, Chance Ruffin, Matthew Shepard, Alexander
Smit.
Akron has had a long tradition of
excellent pitching in their farm system (Jeff Weaver, Mark Mulder, Jason
Marquis, Mark Prior, Cliff Lee, Rich Harden and Johnny Cueto to name
just seven success stories), and Hanson is just the latest product of the Akron ace factory. There is some debate,
however, whether Hanson will become a true ace, or whether he is more
likely to be a middle-of-the-rotation inning-eater. His stats last
season (138 IP, 85 H, 9 HR, 52 BB, 163 K, 2.41 ERA) certainly scream
"ace," yet scouts question whether his stuff will translate to the big
stage. Like Hanson (who rose from a #80 ranking last year),
Morrison really came out of nowhere this year, and made a name for himself in the
Arizona Fall League. Like Chacin, Morrison was a mid-season free
agent pick-up by D.J. Shepard last year (Shepard's third pick.)
#13 Allentown Ridgebacks
Ranked prospects: Rick
Porcello (6), Tim Alderson (40), Andrew Lambo (78), Josh Lindblom (144).
Unranked prospects: Jarek Cunningham, Rashun Dixon, Sean
Doolittle, Juan Duran, Grant Green, Jesus Guzman, Cody Johnson, Derek
Norris, Jose Casilla, Carlos Gutierrez, Kam Mickolio.
Porcello is the highest-ranked pitching
prospect in the Allentown farm system since Jesse Foppert. No one
(and I mean no one) is hoping that Porcello has a Foppert-like career
arc more than I. But given the success rate of Allentown pitching
prospects (Roy Oswalt, Felix Hernandez, Tim Lincecum, etc.), Porcello's
Hall of Fame election is a fate accompli. Three of
Allentown's four ranked prospects throw a ball for a living, so you'd
like to think the TINSTAAPP Curse would strike at least three of them.
Of the unranked group, I'm not even sure who many of them are, but I'm
sure they're all products of Tom's super-secret prospect formula.
#14 Sylmar Padawans
Ranked prospects: Lars
Anderson (18), Mike Moustakas (19), Wes Hodges (127).
Unranked prospects: Francisco Cervelli, Isaac Galloway, Jared
Goedert, Kala Ka'aihue, Hunter Morris, Yorman Bazardo, Cesar Carillo,
Kenshin Kawakami, Sean O'Sullivan, Drew Pomeranz, Chaz Roe.
This is the third year in a row the
Pads have moved up in the ranking, and this has happened despite the
trade of #12 prospect Dexter Fowler and the graduation of last year's
top prospect, Geovanny Soto. Both of the team's current top
prospects came from the Los Altos Undertakers organization.
Anderson -- acquired in 2007 in the Bobby Howry trade -- made the leap
from #55 to #18, and Moustakas came to Sylmar in last year's Ryan
Dempster deal. Anderson, Moustakas and Soto could form a very nice
(and inexpensive) offensive trio in Sylmar for many years to come.
They just need about a dozen more prospects just like them in order to
keep up with the Undertakers.
#15 Villanova Mustangs
Ranked prospects: Trevor
Cahill (14), Carlos Carrasco (44), Tyler Flowers (71), Angel Morales
(136), Jeffrey Locke (144).
Unranked prospects: Ehire Adrianza, Ryan Flaherty, Chad Huffman,
Justin Jackson, Manuarys Correa, Kelvin de la Cruz, Edgar Garcia, Kasey
Kiker, Clayton Mortensen, Trevor Reckling, Anthony Swarzak.
Anthony Peburn recently stated "I love
this kid" in regard to Cahill. If that's not the Kiss of Death, I
don't know what is. For what it's worth, our prospect panel loves
Cahill, too, as they all ranked him among the top 25 prospects in
baseball. And after striking out 136 batters in 124+ innings while
posting a 2.61 ERA in two tough hitters leagues, what's not to love?
Still, TINSTAAPP applies just the same. I'm not sure who a lot of
those guys on the unranked list are, but they sure have funny names.
They look like a bowl of alphabet soup.
#16 New Hope Badgers
Ranked prospects: Brett
Wallace (29), Austin Jackson (33), Andrew Brackman (99), Dellin Betances
(105).
Unranked prospects: Cole Gillespie, Hector Gomez, Michael
Hollimon, Ryan Jackson, Mitch Moreland, Donovan Tate, Josh Whitesell,
Clayton Cook, Matt Graham, Chris Jenkins, Brett Marshall, Jaime
Richmond, Pat Venditte.
Tony Badger's stated farm-building
philosophy is to target those guys who are underappreciated by prospect
pundits. Guys who will become solid, yet unspectacular fourth
outfielders, pinch hitters, #4 starters, utility infielders or relief
specialists. Guys with funny-looking faces and oddly-shaped
bodies, who don't move particularly well or run particularly fast.
Guys with weird abnormalities who can pitch with either arm or work a
set of chopsticks with their toes. This team's #1 prospect, Brett Wallace, certainly
fits
into that category. Half-man, half-hippopotamus, Wallace doesn't
look like a professional athlete, but he sure can hit. However,
with the trade for Jackson, the selection of Tate as a free agent last
year and the selection of Betances with his #1 farm pick this winter, it
appears that Badger may be softening his stance on shying away from
high-risk/high-reward prospects. The result, so far, is the best
ranking this franchise has seen since the Geisel Era.
#17 Southern Cal Slyme
Ranked prospects: Carlos
Santana (31), Jordan Zimmerman (39), Max Ramirez (83), Henry Sosa (130).
Unranked prospects: Casey Kelly, Chris Parmelee, Kyle Russell,
Aaron Crow, Yu Darvish, Randall Delgado, Vin Mazzaro, Zach McAllister,
Tim Melville, Stolmy Pimentel, Jess Todd.
All three of SoCal's top three
prospects were acquired this winter in pre-season trades. Santana
(along with Crow) was acquired in the Magglio Ordonez trade with
Marlboro, Ramirez was a throw-in on the SUS trade with New Milford, and
Zimmerman was acquired from the Broncs straight-up in exchange for
Jayson Werth. Any time you can add your top three prospects while
at the same time building a first-place ballclub, you know you're doing
something right. Looking ahead, Kelly and Crow could easily join
the ranked list next year, and if Darvish ever decides to make the jump
he could make more of an impact than any of them.
#18 Nashville Funkadelic
Ranked prospects: David
Price (2), Jason Donald (81), Lou Marson (111).
Unranked prospects: Yung-Chi Chen, Jonathan Lucroy, Jon
Coutlangus, Kyuki Fujikawa, Yadel Marti, Felipe Paulino, Jason Stanford.
The wait is almost over. Four
years after he was plucked off the free agent scrap heap, David Price is
poised to become the ace of the Funkadelic starting rotation in 2010.
And once he moves on, there won't be much left to talk about on the Funk
farm. Seriously, I have nothing else to talk about here.
#19 Ravenswood Infidels
Ranked prospects: Jordan
Schafer (35), Todd Frazier (75), Brandon Erbe (99), Ivan Dejesus (142).
Unranked prospects: Jeff Bianchi, Peter Bourjos, Eric Campbell,
Mike Carp, Chris Carter, Ike Davis, Jason Kipnis, Devin Mesaraco, Josh
Phegley, John Whittleman, Jeff Manship, Yuki Saito.
Last year I commented that several of
Ravenswood's prospects seemed to be moving in the wrong direction. Since then,
Schafer was caught using steroids, suspended for half the season and
dropped three spots in the ranking, Carter went from #131 to unranked,
and of the 11 unranked prospects from last year, only Frazier made the
jump into the top 150. This is the seventh time the Infidels farm
system has ranked among the bottom five in the past eight years, and the
future doesn't look any brighter.
#20 San Antonio Broncs
Ranked prospects: Gorkys
Hernandez (68), Taylor Teagarden (80), Chris Carter (85), Dominic Brown
(87), Brandon Allen (148).
Unranked prospects: Travis D'Arnaud, David Freese, Conor
Gillaspie, Adam Moore, Chris Valaika, Blake Beaven, David Hernandez,
Craig Kimbrel, Ryan Perry, Michael Pineda, Hector Rondon.
With a $3 million salary, Teagarden is
a lot more expensive than most prospects, but after the trade of Max
Ramirez last year, the Broncs hope that Teagarden will be the team's
starting catcher for the next several years. GM Greg Newgard hopes
that this year's farm draft crop (which includes ranked prospects Brown
and Allen) will be just as successful as last year's (which included
Chris Davis, Jordan Zimmerman, Mat Gamel and Ramirez.)
#21 Cleveland Rocks
Ranked prospects: Ben Revere
(59), Dan Schlereth (102), Kyle Drabek (109), David Huff (111), Beau
Mills (118).
Unranked prospects: Michael Brantley, Lonnie Chisenhall, Jordan
Danks, John Jaso, Matt McBride, Nolan Reimold, Jose Mijares, Kazumi
Saitoh, Tanner Scheppers, Terrell Young.
After a brief flirtation with the top
10 back in 2007 (thanks to Troy Tulowitzki), the Rocks are back at the
bottom for the second year in a row. In the ten years I've been
doing this annual survey, Cleveland has ranked among the bottom five
NINE times. That's not easy to do, even if you're not trying!
There's not a lot to say about this year's Cleveland farm crop.
It's difficult to identify one player above who looks anything like a
potential impact player in the BDBL, and there isn't much trade bait
here, either. If I were Mike Stein, I'd release all 15 farm players and
start over from scratch.
#22 Corona Confederates
Ranked prospects: Nick
Adenhart (54), Christian Friedrich (99), Andrew Cashner (137).
Unranked prospects: Bobby Borchering, Hank Conger, Brian Goodwin,
Anthony Hewitt, Brandon Snyder, Matt Sweeney, Craig Italiano, Tyler
Lumsden, Joe Savery, Jason Stoffel, Zach Wheeler.
Once the pride of the BDBL, the Corona
farm system has now ranked among the bottom three in two of the past
three years. Since he took over the franchise, Ed McGowan has
concentrated heavily on the high school and college ranks. This
very high-risk/high-reward strategy has netted such gems as Jay Bruce,
Cameron Maybin and Ryan Braun, but has resulted in more misses than
hits. The current Confederates farm club is filled with players
who were selected from the amateur pool, including Friedrich, Cashner,
Borchering, Conger, Goodwin, Hewitt, Snyder, Savery, Stoffel and
Wheeler. Of that group, none currently projects as a surefire
impact player. This team's top prospect, Adenhart, ranked among
the top 30 prospects in baseball in each of the past two years, but fell to #54
after a disappointing showing last year.
#23 Kansas Law Dogs
Ranked prospects: James
McDonald (64).
Unranked prospects: Trevor Crowe, Esmailyn Gonzalez, Chris
Pettit, Danny Gutierrez, Hitoki Iwase, Michael McCardell, Kris Medlen,
Edward Reynoso, Will Smith, Graham Taylor, Jacob Turner, Koji Uehara.
And the award for the biggest drop in
this year's Farm Report goes to the Law Dogs, who fell from a #9 ranking
last year all the way to #23. The team's top three prospects from
last year (Andy LaRoche, Carlos Gonzalez and Kosuke Fukudome) all
graduated to the big leagues, leaving 2008's #1 farm pick, McDonald, as
the team's only ranked prospect. Making matters worse, Gonzalez
was recently outed as a 24-year-old, erasing his prospect status.
But the good news is that this farm club isn't nearly as bad as its
rating would indicate. Uehara isn't considered a "prospect" by
most pundits, and thus isn't ranked, but he could make a sizeable
contribution to
Kansas in 2010. Crowe is also a former top-ranked prospect who
could conceivably make an impact in 2010 despite not being ranked this
year. And Turner is considered to be among the top prep arms in
the country, and may rank highly on this list a year from now.
#24 Great Lakes Sphinx
Ranked prospects: Michael
Saunders (92), Michael Taylor (104), Jake McGee (130), Tyler Colvin
(139), Jay Jackson (147).
Unranked prospects: Josh Donaldson, Tony Thomas, Neil Walker,
Nick Barnese, Gerrit Cole, Alex Meyer, Tyler Robertson.
Bringing up the rear for the second
year in a row is the Sphinx. It's hard to believe that Scott
Romonosky has traded John Smoltz, Michael Cuddyer, Justin Germano, Gil
Meche, Shane Victorino, Justin Morneau, Carlos Lee and Carlos Marmol
over the past seven months -- mostly in exchange for prospects -- and
yet the top-ranked prospect on the Sphinx farm is ranked just #92
overall. Normally, when a rebuilding team trades that much talent,
they get at least ONE top-rated prospect in return. I didn't see
the value in guys like Saunders, Taylor, Barnese and Robertson when they
were acquired, and I still don't see it. Evidently, our panel of
pundits doesn't see it, either.
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