June, 2014
Chapter
Three Recap
Players of the Chapter
The Cleveland Rocks went 15-9 in
Chapter Three, and a big reason for that was the heroic performance of
Evan Longoria. Longo hit .383/.416/.777 on the chapter, with 9
homers and 31 ribbies. His 31.1 runs created easily led the EL in
Chapter Three.
Like Longoria, Miguel Cabrera is a
third baseman who was acquired in a blockbuster trade last winter.
And like Longoria, Cabrera is the Hitter of the Chapter. He
carried the Bear Country Jamboree to a BDBL-best 17-7 record, and
allowed his team to gain ground on the Flagstaff Outlaws and get back in
the division race. Cabrera hit .388/.469/.857 on the chapter, with
13 homers, 26 RBI's and a whopping 40.2 runs created.
On the pitching side, the EL Pitcher of
the Chapter is no longer a member of the EL, thanks to Bobby Sylvester's
never-ending obsession with collecting prospects. Tanner Roarke,
who is the newest member of the New Milford Blazers, went 3-1 in Chapter
Three, with a microscopic 0.36 ERA, and led the Eck League in all three
of the triple-slash categories: .134/.207/.134. Hey, Bobby: BITE
ME.
For the Ozzie League, Salem's own Max
Scherzer took home the Pitcher of the Chapter award for his sparkling
2-0 record, 0.75 ERA, and .114/.231/.165 triple-slash line.
Despite that effort, the Cowtippers still managed to go just 12-12 in
Chapter Three.
Top Stories of the
Chapter
Story #1: Overkill
o·ver·kill
/ˈōvərˌkil/ noun: the amount by which destruction or
the capacity for destruction exceeds what is necessary.
If ever there were a better
word to describe the Troy Tulowitzki trade, I cannot imagine one.
The Southern California Slyme already have a championship trophy sitting
on their shelf. They already own the best record in the BDBL.
They already enjoy a 14-game lead in their division. They already
lead the BDBL in runs differential. They are already scoring more
runs than any other team in the BDBL -- and 53 more runs than the next
best team in the Eck League.
So why the hell do they
need Troy Tulowitzki?
The simple answer, of
course, is: they don't. They need Tulo like Tom Brady needs a
better looking wife. Their current shortstop, Jean Segura, ranks
seventh in the BDBL in runs created, among shortstops. This was
hardly an area of weakness that cried out for a remedy.
Tulo ranks #2 in that
category, and there is little doubt, of course, that he represents an
upgrade. SoCal will likely create around fifteen more runs in the
second half than Segura would have, but that isn't important. The
Slyme will cruise to the playoffs regardless of who is playing
shortstop.
Tulo was added to give
SoCal yet another weapon in the playoffs -- and because it didn't cost
the team much to get him. Kevin Gausman is a fine pitcher, and he
will likely be a valuable asset for years to come, but the Slyme don't
need him next year, as their rotation is set with Zack Greinke, Felix
Hernandez, Jarrod Parker and some guy named Masahiro Tanaka. After
that, it's too far in the future to worry about.
Another possible benefit
from adding Tulo -- and Aroldis Chapman -- this chapter is that a few
more wins in the second half could be enough to secure home field
advantage throughout the playoffs. There is one problem with that,
however: the Slyme have to make it to the World Series for that to
happen. BDBL history is filled with examples of seemingly
unstoppable teams that were eliminated early in the playoffs, and the
Slyme could be another one of those teams in 2014. Adding Tulo
makes that possibility a little less daunting.
Story #2: Bobby Sylvester's Never-Ending
Revolving Door of Prospects
In a story that is directly related to
the first, Bobby Sylvester continued to add to his collection of
prospects this chapter, adding not only Gausman in the deal above, but
also prospects Jimmy Nelson, Kenta Maeda, Jake Odorizzi, Kyle Schwarber
and (through one of those technically illegal deals that Bobby makes at
least twice a year) Mike Matuella.
This ever-growing prospect collection
reached the point of overkill several months ago, and yet there is no
evidence to suggest that Bobby is anywhere near the point of sitting
back and resting with the content knowledge that he has built an
unstoppable juggernaut that will dominate the BDBL for decades to come.
Let's step back for a moment and take a
look at what it is that young Sylvester has built. If one were to
envision the starting lineup for the 2019 Apostles, it might look
something like this:
C: Jorge Alfaro / Kyle Schwarber /
Travis d'Arnaud
1B: Jose Abreu
2B: Anthony Rendon
3B: Miguel Sano
LF: Nick Castellanos
CF: Clint Frazier
RF: Oscar Taveras / David Dahl
That is certainly an impressive lineup,
based on scouting reports and projection. How likely are we to see
such a lineup in 2019? Well, take a look at this Salem Cowtippers
Farm Report from 2010, and note the "2014 Projected Roster" that is
highlighted halfway down the page. How many of those names are
still Cowtippers? Just one: Stephen Strasburg.
Now, you could argue that Bobby is less
likely to trade away all of these players than I was in 2010...but this
is Bobby we're talking about. Has he ever gone more than a week
without trading?
On the pitching side, the Apostles have
so many prospects that adding another in the Tanner Roarke deal was
nothing but completely unnecessary overkill: Trevor Bauer, Tony Cingrani,
Josh Collmenter, Gausman, Lucas Giolito, Andrew Heaney, Maeda, Carlos
Martinez, Matuella, Mike Minor, Rafael Monteo, Nelson, Odorizzi, Carlos
Rodon, Kohl Stewart and Michael Wacha. What, was not having Nelson
in this long list causing sleepless nights at the Sylvester home?
The question I can't help but ask is
how long it will take before the Apostles Dynasty officially begins.
With a starting rotation of Johnny Cueto, Minor, Wacha, Dan Haren,
Martinez and A.J. Burnett, the 2015 Apostles already have more than
enough starting pitching to compete. And with Abreu, Yoenis
Cespedes, Brandon Moss and Anthony Rendon, they already have a decent
offensive core as well. They'll also have a ton of money to spend
on free agents.
Is it time to panic yet? No...not
yet. But soon.
Story #3: Another Ozzie League Ass-Whoopin'
As Tom DiStefano so helpfully reported
earlier this week, the Ozzie League took one on the chin in interleague
play again, going 88-104 (.458) against the Ecklings. This marks
the sixth year in a row the EL has dominated interleague play, and the
ninth time in ten years.
Now, I could write an entire article to
explain why this has happened, but I have neither the time nor
motivation (nor stomach) to do so. Here's all you really need to
know:
Team |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
Total |
NMB |
95 |
90 |
97 |
111 |
113 |
50 |
556 |
LAU |
113 |
113 |
106 |
75 |
94 |
41 |
542 |
SCA |
99 |
103 |
81 |
84 |
100 |
54 |
521 |
KAN |
99 |
62 |
105 |
106 |
95 |
41 |
508 |
WYO |
78 |
109 |
55 |
107 |
109 |
47 |
505 |
STL |
103 |
98 |
83 |
97 |
79 |
33 |
493 |
SAL |
76 |
95 |
95 |
84 |
93 |
46 |
489 |
CLT |
94 |
93 |
109 |
76 |
79 |
34 |
485 |
CHI |
93 |
77 |
71 |
102 |
79 |
44 |
466 |
AKR |
77 |
76 |
81 |
96 |
91 |
40 |
461 |
RAV |
66 |
110 |
68 |
82 |
89 |
45 |
460 |
FLG |
102 |
50 |
96 |
73 |
92 |
47 |
460 |
MIS |
72 |
90 |
86 |
100 |
54 |
44 |
446 |
COR |
70 |
96 |
66 |
80 |
64 |
37 |
413 |
KCB |
72 |
72 |
77 |
95 |
62 |
28 |
406 |
CLE |
83 |
83 |
61 |
66 |
69 |
39 |
401 |
GLS |
61 |
70 |
88 |
65 |
66 |
48 |
398 |
LVF |
79 |
61 |
84 |
64 |
62 |
36 |
386 |
NIA |
67 |
54 |
81 |
61 |
72 |
40 |
375 |
SCS |
46 |
65 |
80 |
68 |
78 |
34 |
371 |
NYG |
64 |
64 |
74 |
79 |
65 |
24 |
370 |
BCJ |
79 |
60 |
52 |
62 |
67 |
43 |
363 |
CUE |
70 |
75 |
68 |
47 |
57 |
34 |
351 |
GSL |
62 |
54 |
56 |
40 |
91 |
31 |
334 |
Not only has the Eck League won more
games (110 more!) over the past six years, thanks to interleague play,
but you can see that seven Eck League teams have consistently produced
during that time, while four of the bottom seven teams in this list are
Ozzie League teams that have managed just two winning seasons between
the four of them -- combined!
In other words, the Eck League is split
between seven teams that consistently field competitive teams year in
and year out, three teams that waver between success and failure, and
two that consistently lose every year.
The Ozzie League consists of three
teams that consistently win each season, three teams that fluctuate
between winning and losing, and the other HALF of the league that has --
with rare exception -- suffered through a losing season for six years in
a row.
'Nuff said.
Story #4: Ravenswood Upgrades
Although the trade announcement didn't
receive a single comment, the deal between the Infidels and Undertakers
may turn out to be the most significant trade of the chapter. The
Infidels are currently leading the Benes Division, but by only one game
over the Mississippi Meatballs. Upgrading their rotation from Mark
Buehrle (0-7, 4.96 ERA in 90+ IP) to Jon Lester (5-8, 4.47 ERA in 112+
IP for Los Altos) could have profound effects on that division race.
Left-handed hitters have been pounding
Buehrle this season, to the tune of .339/.385/.509. Lester
(.317/.357/.414) hasn't fared much better, but his MLB numbers
(.237/.278/.392) suggest that he has the potential to pitch much better.
Not only did the Infidels upgrade this
chapter, but their main competition managed to downgrade in the middle
of the season. Mississippi traded away one of their two closers,
Aroldis Chapman, in exchange for prospects. They then replaced
Chapman in the bullpen with Neal Cotts. Cotts is an excellent
reliever, and should perform very well in the setup role, but he's no
Chapman.
The Cowtippers are currently holding
onto a slim two game lead in the OL wild card race, and given that the
Meatballs are currently in second place, these trades may affect that
race as well.
Story #5: Loaded for Bear
The Jamboree managed to pick up two
games in the division race last chapter, and now trail the Flagstaff
Outlaws by four games. This past chapter, GM Matt Clemm made a
couple of deals that should strengthen his team in the second half.
The Jamboree offense ranks #3 in the OL
in runs scored, #1 in batting average, #2 in on-base, #1 in slugging,
and they have hit 20 more home runs than any other team in the league.
In other words, offense hasn't been a problem for them this season.
One of their only weaknesses in the lineup was in right field, where
Oswaldo Arcia was hitting just .259/.313/.461 overall, and a meager
.236/.233/.427 against lefties.
Enter Torii Hunter:
Overall: .307/.347/.514
vs. LH: .319/.385/.552
vs. RH: .300/.324/.493
That extra offense may come in handy if
Bear Country's starting pitching doesn't make a dramatic turnaround.
Three-fifths of the Jamboree rotation have been downright awful this
season:
Ricky Nolasco: 5.50 ERA in 88+ IP
Pat Corbin: 6.10 ERA in 97+ IP
Wade Miley: 6.13 ERA in 91 IP
Each of these pitchers is sporting an
ERA in the BDBL that is between 2-3 runs higher than his MLB ERA.
Even with the addition of Hunter, it will be incredibly difficult to
make up those four games in the standings if those three pitchers
continue to perform so horrendously.
Story #6: Salem Wins the Votto
The Cowtippers offense went into a
tailspin in Chapter Three. They hit just .253/.315/.395 as a team,
scored just 87 runs (an average of 3.6 per game), were shut out six
times, and were held to two runs or less nine times in 24 games.
It's incredibly difficult to win when you don't score runs.
When I looked at the numbers, our
performance against right-handers stood out like a sore thumb. And
the key culprit in that performance was our first baseman -- and cleanup
hitter -- Justin Smoak. I had high hopes for Smoak coming into the
season, based on the vast differences between his MLB home ballpark in
Seattle and Salem's configuration. But his performance failed to
match those expectations:
MLB, overall: .238/.334/.414
BDBL, overall: .213/.309/.361
MLB, vs. RH: .260/.361/.477
BDBL, vs. RH: .207/.308/.358
Joey Votto is no longer the MVP-caliber
hitter he was a year or two ago, but he still represents a massive
improvement over Smoak. Of course, with New Milford winning 85% of
their home games, winning the division title simply isn't possible, but
Votto should help Salem turn their offense around in the second half and
create a little more wriggle room in the wild card race.
Story #7: Cartoon Network Park: Still
Ridiculous
As mentioned in the story above, the
Blazers are still winning 85% of their home games at their ridiculous,
physics-defying ballpark. Their road winning percentage has
climbed all the way to .400, which gives them only a 450-point spread
between home and road winning percentage.
'Nuff said.
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